There is no honest single number, because real estate is hyper-local and 'worth buying' also depends on your budget and how long you plan to stay. Nobody can promise where prices go from here, and housing has rarely round-tripped a run-up back to the starting price. Over long stretches home prices trend upward, illustratively on the order of 4 to 5% a year across many decades. Communities that opened decades ago at five-figure prices trade in the seven figures today. The realistic expectation after a sharp run-up is reversion toward that long-term growth trend, rather than a return to the old sticker. What determines whether prices actually give ground is supply against demand. A real, sustained decline needs an oversupply of inventory relative to buyers. When inventory stays tight, prices tend to hold even as sales volume slows, and softness shows up first as seller credits toward closing costs and fewer multiple-offer situations, well before any headline price drop. So rather than waiting on a target number that may never print, decide whether the payment works for you at a price you can support, and whether you plan to own long enough to ride out the swings. If you want your real numbers, the free Roadmap conversation (about 20 minutes) is where we run them.